|
CS
|
Probability of clinical signs in one or more animals in an infected closed multiplier herd
|
0.01;0.2;0.5
|
0.1;0.2;0.4
|
expert poll
|
[8], expert poll
|
|
FcV
|
Probability that a closed multiplier farmer informs vet./PHS about clinical signs
|
0.5;0.75; 0.9
|
0.45;0.7; 0.9
|
expert poll
|
|
VcS
|
Probability that veterinarian takes samples for laboratory examination
|
0.5;0.9;1
|
expert poll
|
|
Intrapr
|
Intra-herd prevalence (herd with clinical signs)
|
0.3;0.6;0.9
|
0.05;0.15;0.4
|
expert poll
|
[8]
|
|
Intraprnoc
|
Intra-herd prevalence (no clinical signs)
|
0.1;0.25;0.5
|
-
|
expert poll
|
[8]
|
|
TsensPCR
|
Probability that test classifies a true positive sample as positive (PCR after culture)
|
0.62;0.73;0.83
|
0.85;0.85;1
|
[16]
|
[17]
|
|
TspecPCR
|
Probability that test classifies a true negative sample as negative (PCR after culture)
|
0.91;0.97;1
|
0.98;0.99;1
|
[16]
|
pers. comm. G. Schüpbach
|
|
CSMF
|
Probability that pigs show clinical signs during MF with infected animals
|
0.05;0.125;0.4
|
0.2;0.5;0.7
|
expert poll
|
|
MFFiV
|
Probability that MF farmer informs PHS about signs
|
0.27;0.6;0.75
|
0.3;0.5;0.78
|
expert poll
|
|
AnAS
|
Number of animals sampled via active sampling (per visit)
|
4 / 6 (4;10)*
|
10 (4;10)*
|
[5]
|
|
NAS
|
Number of visits with active sampling
|
2 (2;4)*
|
[5]
|
|
NCLINPHS
|
Number of visits with clinical examination
|
2 (2;4)*
|
[5]
|
|
NMF
|
Number of MF with telephone check
|
3 (1;4)*
|
[5]
|
|
NMFPHS
|
Number of MF with on-farm examination
|
1 (1;4)*
|
[5]
|
|
AnSUS
|
Number of animals sampled in the case of suspicion
|
20 (10;25)*
|
[5]
|
